In the most anticipated game in Week 7 NFL, the New England Patriots host the New York Jets with first place on the line in the AFC East. The Patriots have owned the Jets in recent years, going 7-1 in the last eight meetings.

New England (5-0, 2-0 home) also played in the featured game in Week 6. The Patriots would get their ‘Deflategate’ revenge on the Colts in a 34-27 road victory as 8.5-point favorites.

New York (4-1, 2-0 road) has been one of the biggest surprises in the NFL this season. The Jets continued their impressive start to the year with a 34-20 home win over the Washington Redskins last week.

Kickoff inside Gillette Stadium is scheduled for 1:00 EST Sunday afternoon with CBS providing the television coverage. If you are looking to wager on this game, you’ll find New England as a 9-point favorite over New York with a total set of 48 points.

My Early Lean: Jets +9

The Jets are the most underrated team in the National Football League this season. They are not only winning, they are dominating the opposition. They have outgained all five of their opponents this season, and in their only loss, they even outgained the Eagles by 92 yards. But they lost that game 17-24 at home thanks to an 89-yard punt return TD from Darren Sproles that proved to be the difference in the game.

The numbers show that the Jets are one of the best teams in the NFL this season. All four of their wins have come by at least 13 points as they are outscoring the opposition by 10.8 points per game. But they also rank 1st in the entire NFL in yardage differential, outgaining teams by an average of 110.6 yards per game. That’s 31.9 yards per game better than second place.

The Jets lead the NFL in scoring defense (15.0 points/game) and total defense (269.2 yards/game). First-year head coach Todd Bowles has made a huge difference for this team, as have the additions of Antonio Cromartie and Darrelle Revis on the outside. The Jets also recently got back DT Sheldon Richardson from a four-game suspension as he got some playing time against the Redskins last week. This is the best defense in the NFL folks.

But what’s getting overlooked with the Jets is how improved their offense has been. Ryan Fitzpatrick is more than just a game manager, and he now has some ample weapons outside with Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker. The Jets are putting up 25.8 points and 379.8 yards per game to rank 8th in the NFL in total offense. But the key has been Chris Ivory and the ground game, which ranked 1st in the NFL at 146.0 rushing yards per contest.

Each of the last four meetings have been decided by 3 points or less and by a combined 9 points. The Jets have held the Patriots to 232, 295, 313 and 231 yards in the last four meetings.

A running game and a solid defense have allowed the Jets to play the Patriots extremely tough in recent years. In fact, each of the last four meetings have been decided by 3 points or less and by a combined 9 points. The Jets have held the Patriots to 232, 295, 313 and 231 yards in the last four meetings. That’s an average of 267.8 yards per game, which is might impressive when you consider what the Patriots are doing to everyone else. And now this is the best defense the Jets have had maybe ever.

This is a bad spot for New England. Sure, it will be up for this game because it’s a division game with first place on the line, but it put a lot into last week’s game against the Colts. Brady and company wanted revenge for ‘Deflategate’, and while they downplayed it in the media after the game, it was clear that the win meant a lot to them. That was evident when Bill Belichick went over to Brady and hugged him after the win, and Brady even kept the game ball. That win meant a lot more to them than they are leading on.

The Jets are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games vs. AFC opponents. New York is 4-0 ATS in its last four vs. AFC East foes. The Jets are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. New York is 4-1 ATS in its last five trips to New England.