Patriots Jets Odds
The New England Patriots renew their rivalry with the New York Jets on Thursday, October 16th in AFC East action. The Patriots have won five of the last six meetings in this series, though the Jets did manage to win the last meeting 30-27 at home in 2013.
New England (4-2) has posted back-to-back blowout victories over the Bengals (43-17) and the Bills (37-22) heading into this one. The Jets (1-5) have lost five in a row, including their 17-31 home loss to the Broncos last week.
Kickoff inside Gillette Stadium is scheduled for 8:25 EST Thursday with CBS/NFL Network providing the television coverage. Taking a look at the lines in Las Vegas, I find New England as a 9.5-point favorite over New York and a total set of 45 points.
My Early Lean: Patriots -9.5
The Patriots are back. They went to a no-huddle, up-tempo offense against the Bengals and have put together their two most complete performances of the season as a result. They beat the Bengals 43-17 while putting up 505 yards of total offense. Then last week, they topped the Bills 37-22 while racking up 396 yards.
Tom Brady has been much more efficient in the new-look offense. He completed 23 of 35 passes for 292 yards with two touchdowns and no picks against the Bengals. Brady went 27 of 37 for 361 yards and four touchdowns without a pick against the Bills last week. Those are two of the better defenses in the league, and Brady was able to do whatever he wanted to against them.
The New York Jets are done for at 1-5 this season. They had their chances against the Broncos last week, but ultimately lost 17-31 for their fifth straight loss. However, that game was a much bigger blowout than the final score would indicate as the Jets were outgained by the Broncos 204-359 for the game. They will have a hard time getting up off the mat to face the Patriots on a short week.
New York just cannot get anything going on offense. It is averaging 16.0 points and 303.2 yards per game on that side of the ball and will have a hard time keeping up with the explosive Patriots in this one. The Jets have also struggled against the pass this season, allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 64.7% on the season. They will struggle keeping Brady and company in check.
The Patriots have won five of their last six meetings with the Jets. They will be going for their sixth straight home win this this series as well. Tom Brady has won six straight regular-season home meetings with the Jets while throwing nine touchdowns, one interception and recording a 101.3 passer rating in the last five.
Tom Brady has won six straight regular-season home meetings with the Jets while throwing nine touchdowns, one interception and recording a 101.3 passer rating in the last five.
The Jets are going to have a hard time reversing this trend with Geno Smith at quarterback. He has completed just 57.1 percent of his passes with six touchdowns and seven interceptions along with an NFL-low 69.7 passer rating. He went 32 of 68 passing for 447 yards with a TD and four interceptions while getting sacked eight times in two meetings with the Patriots last year.
Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW ENGLAND) – after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games against opponent after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games are 38-12 (76%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. The Jets are 0-7 ATS when playing against a good team with a winning percentage from 60% to 75% over the last three seasons. New England is 11-1 ATS off a division game over the last three seasons.