North Carolina Football Predictions

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The North Carolina Tar Heels had a very successful season in head coach Larry Fedora’s first year on the job. He led the team to an 8-4 record in 2012 despite being ineligible for a bowl game. In fact, North Carolina’s 5-3 record in ACC play would have been good enough to win the Coastal and play for a conference title had it been eligible.

Fedora is continuing his success from his previous four years at Southern Miss. Now, he returns 13 starters from last year’s team. The Tar Heels will now be eligible for postseason play, so they hope they can at least repeat last year’s success to possibly contend for an ACC title in 2013.

The offense returns six starters from a unit that put up a whopping 40.6 points per game last season. That includes senior quarterback Bryn Renner, who completed 65.4 percent of his passes for 3,356 yards with 28 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. The top two receivers return in Quinshad Davis and Eric Ebron, but they lose leading rusher Giovani Bernard, who had 1,718 yards from scrimmage and 17 total touchdowns.

The defense played decently last season in allowing 25.7 points per game. With seven starters back, including five of the top seven tacklers, this stop unit should be able to pick up where it left off last year. Leading the way will be FS Tre Boston (86 tackles, 4 INT), CB Jabari Price (76 tackles, 10 passes defended) and DE Kareem Martin (40 tackles, 15.5 for loss).

Last Season
ACC Coastal
Record
ATS Record
Over/Under
Points For
Points Against
1st
8-4
6-6
7-3-1
40.6
25.7
2013 Schedule
2013 North Carolina Tar Heels Schedule
Date Opponent
Spread (Est.)
Win Chance
8/29 @ South Carolina
+12
0.20
9/7 Middle Tennessee
-16
1
9/21 @ Georgia Tech
+4.5
0.40
9/28 East Carolina
-14
0.88
10/5 @ Virginia Tech
+6.5
0.35
10/17 Miami
PK
0.50
10/26 Boston College
-13
0.87
11/2 @ NC State
-2.5
0.56
11/9 Virginia
-14
0.88
11/16 @ Pittsburgh
-7.5
0.73
11/23 Old Dominion
-30
1
11/30 Duke
-14
0.88
Estimated Wins: 8.25

The Tar Heels waste no time finding out how good they are. After playing Elon in their opener last year in a 62-0 victory, they will now have to travel to face SEC power South Carolina on August 29 to kick off their season.

The non-conference schedule isn’t very easy to say the last because they also play two solid teams from Conference USA in East Carolina and Middle Tennessee. They should be able to win those two games and also blow out Old Dominion for at least a 3-1 mark in non-conference play.

The ACC schedule actually sets up pretty well as UNC avoids both Florida State and Clemson from the Atlantic. It draws Boston College and NC State from that division, which is very fortunate.

While the Tar Heels get a key game against Miami at home on October 17, they have to travel to face two other Coastal Division contenders in Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech early on in the season.

Odds (Courtesy of Bovada)
Regular Season Win Total
ACC Championship Odds
National Championship Odds
9.5
8 to 1
300 to 1
Season Predictions

Fedora clearly knows how to coach up an offense. His teams at Southern Miss were explosive on that side of the ball, and UNC set a school-record by averaging 40.6 points in his first year on the job in 2012.

This offense should be dynamic once again with Renner running the show. However, the offensive line will feature three underclassmen starters, and the loss of Bernard is certainly huge.

I like what I saw from the defense last year, and it should be at least as good as it was in 2012 considering seven starters are back. However, there are some key posses as pass-rushers Kevin Reddick (85 tackles, 18.5 for loss) and Sylvester Williams (42 tackles, 13.5 for loss) have departed.

The schedule sets up pretty well as the Tar Heels avoid the top two teams from the Atlantic. They could beat Miami at home in a game I have listed as a pick ‘em, but winning at Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech will prove to be too difficult. That’s why I have pegged them third in the Coastal in 2013.

2013 Projections
ACC Coastal
ACC Record
Overall Record
Win Total Prediction
3rd
6-2
9-3
Under 9.5
North Carolina Football Resources
More North Carolina Football Predictions

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ACC
Atlantic Division
Coastal Division
North Carolina
Conferences
About the Author: Jack Jones has been one of the top experts on the site while competing against roughly 80 of the best handicappers in the world each year. He has made most of his money on the hardwood. In fact, he has finished in the Top-5 in college basketball each of the last three seasons (#5 2011-12, #5 2012-13, #3 2013-14). He was also the No. 1 NBA handicapper from 2012-13. As of early April, Jack has compiled an 802-631 basketball run that has seen his $1,000 game players profit $124,030. He was the No. 3 College Football handicapper in 2012-13. While he doesn't have any top finishes in the NFL, he has produced steady profits without killing his clients. Jack also was your No. 7 MLB handicapper in 2009 and backed it up with a No. 8 MLB finish in 2010. No matter the sport, the one thing you can count on with Jack Jones is that he won't leave any stone unturned. You'll know why he is on a game with his detailed analysis, and more times than not, you will come out well ahead against your book. Head on over to Jack's premium pick page to see what he has in store for tonight!
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