The general consensus around MLB scouts is that the 2015 MLB Draft class is below average talent-wise.  You won’t find a Stephen Strasburg or a Bryce Harper as the consensus No. 1 pick this year.  That’s why there are so many varying opinions as to who the top prospect really is.

I have gone through and checked out mock drafts from several credible sources, while also creating a mock draft of my own.  I have listed the Top 10 picks from every source.  As you’ll see in the table below, there really isn’t a consensus No. 1 pick.

Of the 27 sites I have listed, the consensus No. 1 pick was Dansby Swanson at 29.63% with eight of them taking him.  Brendan Rodgers had the second-most No. 1 choices at seven.  A whopping eight different players were taken No. 1 by these 27 mock draft sites.

One reason for this lack of overall consensus is that there were new draft rules set in 2013 that assign bonus slots and bonus pools to each pick in the top 10 rounds.  The rewards for saving money with the top picks in the draft and spending that savings in later rounds influences team’s decisions.  Teams in the top half of the first round may make decisions based on signability as much as talent.

Take a look at the consensus picks for these 27 sites.  This will help you better understand at least the top 10 players that will likely be selected in the first round on June 8th.  Alex Bregman was selected 44.44% of the time by the Boston Red Sox at 7th overall, which was easily the top consensus pick among the Top 10.  It will be interesting to see if it plays out that way.

Team Diamondbacks Astros Rockies Rangers Astros Twins Red Sox White Sox Cubs Phillies
Consensus Pick Dansby Swanson Brendan Rodgers Dansby Swanson Daz Cameron Kyle Tucker Alex Bregman Alex Bregman Tyler Jay Walker Buehler Tyler Stephenson
% Consensus 29.63% 33.33% 29.63% 18.52% 29.63% 18.52% 44.44% 22.22% 18.52% 22.22%
Site Updated Pick 1 Pick 2 Pick 3 Pick 4 Pick 5 Pick 6 Pick 7 Pick 8 Pick 9 Pick 10
Backfield Ball 5/7/15 Tyler Stephenson Dansby Swanson Dillon Tate Brendan Rodgers Daz Cameron Kolby Allard Alex Bregman Tyler Jay Kyle Funkhouser Garrett Whitley
Baseball America 5/22/15 Tyler Jay Dansby Swanson Brendan Rodgers Dillon Tate Kyle Tucker Daz Cameron Alex Bregman Carson Fulmer Jon Harris Garrett Whitley
Baseball Essential 5/2/15 Dillon Tate Brendan Rodgers Dansby Swanson Carson Fulmer Kyle Tucker Kyle Funkhouser Alex Bregman Trenton Clark Walker Buehler Nick Plummer
Betfirm 5/21/15 Brendan Rodgers Dansby Swanson Dillon Tate Daz Cameron Kyle Tucker Alex Bregman Carson Fulmer Ian Happ Tyler Jay Walker Buehler
Boyds Bets 5/13/15 Brendan Rodgers Dillon Tate Dansby Swanson Daz Cameron Carson Fulmer Jon Harris Alex Bregman Walker Buehler Trenton Clark Tyler Stephenson
Draft to the Show 5/6/15 Brendan Rodgers Dillon Tate Dansby Swanson Kyle Funkhouser Carson Fulmer Alex Bregman Ian Happ Mike Nikorak Kevin Newman Ashe Russell
Draft Utopia 5/15/15 Brendan Rodgers Dillon Tate Kyle Funkhouser Dansby Swanson Mike Nikorak Kyle Tucker Carson Fulmer Walker Buehler Jon Harris Alex Bregman
ESPN Insider 5/27/15 Dansby Swanson Alex Bregman Dillon Tate Brendan Rodgers Kyle Tucker Kolby Allard Daz Cameron Carson Fulmer Trenton Clark Walker Buehler
FanGraphs 5/11/15 Dansby Swanson Brendan Rodgers Dillon Tate Kyle Funkhouser Daz Cameron Alex Bregman Carson Fulmer Tyler Jay Trenton Clark Tyler Stephenson
Fueled by Sports 5/21/15 Dillon Tate Brendan Rodgers Dansby Swanson Kyle Tucker Jon Harris Daz Cameron Tyler Jay Mike Nikorak Carson Fulmer Walker Buehler
Halos Heaven 6/7/15 Dansby Swanson Brendan Rodgers Alex Bregman Dillon Tate Kyle Tucker Carson Fulmer Tyler Jay Daz Cameron Andrew Benintendi Tyler Stephenson
Indiana Sports Page 5/12/15 Dillon Tate Dansby Swanson Brendan Rodgers Jon Harris Kyle Tucker Daz Cameron Alex Bregman Kyle Funkhouser Carson Fulmer Trenton Clark
Indians Baseball Insider 3/12/15 Dillon Tate Kolby Allard Brendan Rodgers Brady Aiken Dansby Swanson Michael Matuella Ashe Russell Walker Buehler Ian Happ Nathan Kirby
Jack Stats 3/4/15 Michael Matuella Brendan Rodgers Walker Buehler Brady Aiken Dansby Swanson Nathan Kirby Kyle Funkhouser Daz Cameron Kolby Allard Phil Bickford
Minor League Ball 5/15/15 Dillon Tate Brendan Rodgers Dansby Swanson Jon Harris Daz Cameron Alex Bregman Carson Fulmer Tyler Jay Mike Nikorak Trenton Clark
Minor League Madhouse 5/27/15 Dansby Swanson Tyler Jay Brendan Rodgers Carson Fulmer Kyle Tucker Tyler Stephenson Alex Bregman Dillon Tate Mike Nikorak Ian Happ
MLB Draft Countdown 5/22/15 Carson Fulmer Dillon Tate Dansby Swanson Brendan Rodgers Daz Cameron James Kaprielian Alex Bregman Jon Harris Kyle Tucker Ian Happ
MLB Top Prospectus 5/24/15 Dansby Swanson Nathan Kirby Brendan Rodgers Kyle Funkhouser Carson Fulmer Dillon Tate Walker Buehler Alex Bregman Justin Hooper Phil Bickford
MLB.com (Callis) 5/21/15 Dansby Swanson Brendan Rodgers Tyler Jay Daz Cameron Carson Fulmer Dillon Tate Alex Bregman Jon Harris Andrew Benintendi Walker Buehler
MLB.com (Mayo) 5/12/15 Dillon Tate Brendan Rodgers Dansby Swanson Daz Cameron Carson Fulmer Jon Harris Alex Bregman Tyler Jay Walker Buehler Tyler Stephenson
My MLB Draft 5/4/15 Brendan Rodgers Dillon Tate Dansby Swanson Kyle Funkhouser Daz Cameron Alex Bregman Brady Aiken Walker Buehler Nathan Kirby Mike Nikorak
Rant Sports 5/25/15 Brendan Rodgers Dansby Swanson Tyler Jay Alex Bregman Carson Fulmer Dillon Tate Daz Cameron Tyler Stephenson Andrew Benintendi Kyle Tucker
Scouting Baseball 5/8/15 Garrett Whitley Dansby Swanson Jon Harris Brendan Rodgers Daz Cameron Dillon Tate Alex Bregman Tyler Jay Walker Buehler Tyler Stephenson
Sporting News 5/13/15 Dillon Tate Dansby Swanson Brendan Rodgers Daz Cameron Kyle Tucker Jon Harris Alex Bregman Carson Fulmer Tyler Jay Tyler Stephenson
Sports Illustrated 5/27/15 Dansby Swanson Dillon Tate Brendan Rodgers Alex Bregman Daz Cameron Tyler Jay Andrew Benintendi Carson Fulmer Walker Buehler Tyler Stephenson
The Sports Bank 5/25/15 Brendan Rodgers Dansby Swanson Alex Bregman Dillon Tate Tyler Jay Kyle Funkhouser Ian Happ Kevin Newsman Carson Fulmer Kyle Tucker
Through the Fence 5/19/15 Dansby Swanson Brendan Rodgers Carson Fulmer Dillon Tate Kyle Tucker Tyler Jay Alex Bregman Daz Cameron Trenton Clark Walker Buehler
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