Michigan State Football Predictions

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The Michigan State Spartans played several close games in 2012. In fact, nine of their 13 games were decided by 4 points or less. In the end, Mark Dantonio’s team finished with a 7-6 record after a fitting 17-16 victory over TCU in the Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl.

This team was easily better than its 3-5 record in Big Ten play would suggest. Those five losses came by 1, 3, 2, 4 and 3 points! That’s how close the Spartans came to winning the Legends Division, but they ended up settling for a disappointing 4th place finish.

With 15 starters and 52 lettermen returning, Michigan State is going to be a force to be reckoned with in the Big Ten in 2013. They have eight starters back from an offense that scored just 20.0 points per game a year ago. They must improve on this side of the ball if they want to make some noise. The loss of leading rusher LeVeon Bell (1,793 yards, 4.7/carry, 12 TD) certainly hurts, but freshman Gerald Holmes is ready to step in right away.

The defense was the heart and soul of the team last year. The stop unit yielded just 16.3 points and 274 total yards per game in 2012. With seven starters and seven of their top nine tacklers back, including first-team All-Big Ten LB Max Bullough (111 tackles, 12.5 for loss), the defense will pick up right where it left off last season.

Last Season
Big Ten (Legends)
Record
ATS Record
Over/Under
Points For
Points Against
4th
7-6
5-8
2-10
20.0
16.3
2013 Schedule
2013 Michigan State Spartans Schedule
Date Opponent
Spread (Est.)
Win Chance
8/30 Western Michigan
-23.5
1
9/7 USF
-24
1
9/14 Youngstown State
-39
1
9/21 @ Notre Dame
+6
0.32
10/5 @ Iowa
-9
0.78
10/12 Indiana
-18
1
10/19 Purdue
-18.5
1
10/26 @ Illinois
-15
1
11/2 Michigan
-3
0.56
11/16 @ Nebraska
+6
0.32
11/23 @ Northwestern
+3
0.44
11/30 Minnesota
-20
1
Estimated Wins: 9.42

The Spartans open the season with three straight games in which they’ll likely be favored by 20-plus at home against inferior opponents. That won’t likely get them battle tested for a huge showdown at Notre Dame on September 21, which they’ll certainly be an underdog in.

The Big Ten schedule for Michigan State opens with four straight games in which it will be a big favorite against Iowa, Indiana, Purdue and Illinois. It has an excellent chance of opening 4-0 in conference play before its toughest stretch of the season with a home game against Michigan, followed by road contests at Nebraska and Northwestern.

Michigan State was blessed with one of the easiest schedules in the Big Ten in 2013. It avoids the top three teams from the Leaders Division in Ohio State, Wisconsin and Penn State. This sets the Spartans up very well to make a run at Indianapolis and a Big Ten title.

Odds (Courtesy of Bovada)
Regular Season Win Total
Big Ten Championship Odds
National Championship Odds
8.5
3 to 1
100 to 1
Season Predictions

I believe the Spartans are the team to beat in the Big Ten Legends Division. They will have the best defense in the Big Ten returning from a unit that allowed just 16.3 points per game last season. This stop unit will carry them to the title.

The offense will almost certainly be improved even with the loss of Bell with eight starters back. Now, it’s up to senior quarterback Andrew Maxwell to make the necessary strides in his second season as the starter. He’ll have four of his top five receivers back, as well as four starters along the offensive line, so that shouldn’t be a problem.

I really like the fact that Michigan State avoids Ohio State, Wisconsin and Penn State from the Leaders Division. It gets Michigan at home which will be a win, plus I look for it to upset either Nebraska or Northwestern on the road. A 7-1 finish in conference play will be good enough to get the Spartans to Indianapolis for the Big Ten title game in 2013.

2013 Projections
Big Ten (Legends)
Big Ten Record
Overall Record
Win Total Prediction
1st
7-1
10-2
Over 8.5
Michigan State Football Resources
More Michigan State Football Predictions

More College Football Predictions

Big Ten
Legends
Michigan State
Leaders
Conferences
About the Author: Jack Jones has been one of the top experts on the site while competing against roughly 80 of the best handicappers in the world each year. He has made most of his money on the hardwood. In fact, he has finished in the Top-5 in college basketball each of the last three seasons (#5 2011-12, #5 2012-13, #3 2013-14). He was also the No. 1 NBA handicapper from 2012-13. As of early April, Jack has compiled an 802-631 basketball run that has seen his $1,000 game players profit $124,030. He was the No. 3 College Football handicapper in 2012-13. While he doesn't have any top finishes in the NFL, he has produced steady profits without killing his clients. Jack also was your No. 7 MLB handicapper in 2009 and backed it up with a No. 8 MLB finish in 2010. No matter the sport, the one thing you can count on with Jack Jones is that he won't leave any stone unturned. You'll know why he is on a game with his detailed analysis, and more times than not, you will come out well ahead against your book. Head on over to Jack's premium pick page to see what he has in store for tonight!
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