The No. 13 Georgia Bulldogs travel to face the No. 23 Missouri Tigers on Saturday, October 11th for an SEC East showdown. The Tigers went on the road and beat the Bulldogs by a final of 41-26 as a 6.5-point underdog last season en route to winning the division title.
Georgia (4-1) came through with a 44-17 home win over Vanderbilt last week as a 33-point favorite to improve to 2-1 in SEC play. Missouri (4-1) had last week off after winning its conference opener in a 21-20 road win at South Carolina.
Kickoff at Faurot Field in Columbia is scheduled for 12:00 EST Saturday afternoon with CBS providing the television coverage. Interested in wagering on this game? You’ll find Georgia installed as a 3-point favorite at Missouri.
My Early Lean: Georgia -3
I still believe that the Bulldogs are a playoff contender this year despite already having one loss on the season. They remain the class of the SEC East, and that will be shown Saturday as they take down the overrated Tigers. Their only loss this season came by a final of 35-38 at South Carolina as their field goal kicker missed a chip shot at the end that would have sent it into overtime. They have played great since with three straight victories.
What I like about the Bulldogs is the fact that they are extremely battle-tested heading into this one. They have played an absolutely brutal schedule with wins over Clemson and Tennessee as well. They have proven they can run the football on anyone as they are averaging 289 yards per game and 7.0 per carry on the ground. Leading the way has been Heisman Trophy contender Todd Gurley, who has already rushed for 773 yards (8.2/carry) and eight touchdowns in only five games.
Missouri has played a much softer schedule with four non-conference games already. It did beat UCF 38-10, but that game was much closer than the final score would indicate as it only gained 318 total yards on offense. It then lost to Indiana 27-31 at home the next week while giving up 241 rushing yards to the Hoosiers. If the Tigers can lose at home to Indiana and give up that many rushing yards, you can just foresee what this more talented Georgia team could do here.
The Tigers are getting a lot of respect for their 21-20 road win at South Carolina last week. Sure, it’s concerning that Georgia lost to the Gamecocks while Missouri beat them, but the Tigers should have lost that game. They trailed 20-7 in the 4th quarter before rallying late. They were outgained by the Gamecocks 280-338 for the game. Georgia put up 408 total yards on the Gamecocks for comparison’s sake.
Plays on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GEORGIA) – off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 43-16 (72.9%) ATS over the last five seasons.
Home-field advantage has obviously meant nothing in this series between Georgia and Missouri as SEC opponents. The road team has won in blowout fashion each of the last two years, including the 41-20 win by the Bulldogs in 2012. Plays on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GEORGIA) – off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 43-16 (72.9%) ATS over the last five seasons.