Redskins Cowboys Odds
The Dallas Cowboys (2-3) welcome the Washington Redskins (1-3) to Cowboy Stadium for an NFC East showdown on Sunday, October 13. The Cowboys had won three straight and six of seven in this series before getting swept last season. They lost 31-38 at home and 18-28 on the road.
This game will be nationally televised on NBC at 8:30 EST Sunday night. If you are interested in wagering on this primetime contest, then you will be working with a line of Dallas -6 over Washington and a total set of 52 points.
Why Dallas Covers
The Cowboys can certainly take a moral victory out of their 48-51 home loss to the Denver Broncos last week. No team had been competitive with the Broncos before the Cowboys gave them a run for their money. While Tony Romo threw a costly interception late, he still had one of the best games of his career. He set a Dallas record with 506 passing yards to go along with five touchdowns.
This Dallas offense, which is averaging 30.4 points and 376.8 total yards per game, should have its way with a Washington defense that is in shambles. The Redskins are giving up 28.0 points and 440.5 yards per game to rank 31st in the league in total defense. Opposing quarterbacks have been torching this Washington secondary for 298.2 yards per game, good for the 26th in the league against the pass. Romo should pick up right where he left off against Denver.
Washington’s only victory this season came against the Oakland Raiders on September 29 when they were playing without starting quarterback Terrelle Pryor. Its three losses all came by six points or more to Philadelphia (27-33), Green Bay (20-38) and Detroit (20-27). This team has clearly taken a step back from last season, and Robert Griffin III isn’t the same quarterback he was last year. The Redskins’ read-option simply doesn’t work when he cannot run the football with consistency without worrying about getting hurt.
Dallas is 16-6 against the spread in its last 22 home games after having lost three of its last four games coming in. The Cowboys are 40-23 against the number in their last 63 games after allowing 30 or more points in their last game. The Redskins are 0-4 against the spread in their last four vs. NFC opponents. The Cowboys are 4-1 against the number in their last five home games.
Why Washington Covers
The Redskins have simply had the Cowboys number in recent years. They won both meetings last year, winning 38-31 in Dallas and 28-18 at home with the NFC East title on the line. In fact, only once in the last 13 meetings has Washington lost to Dallas by more than 5 points. That’s a 12-1 system backing the Redskins when you factor in the 6-point spread. Plus, Washington is 13-3 against the spread in its last 16 meetings with the Cowboys, including 6-0 in its last six meetings in Dallas. Also, the underdog is 23-7 against the number in the last 30 meetings.
In fact, only once in the last 13 meetings has Washington lost to Dallas by more than 5 points. That’s a 12-1 system backing the Redskins when you factor in the 6-point spread.
There’s no question that the Redskins have struggled in the early going. But you have to remember that this team went 3-6 through its first nine games last year, only to reel off seven straight victories to close out the season to win the NFC East with a 10-6 record. The Redskins aren’t about to pack it in at this point after what happened last year. There’s still a lot to like about this team now that they are back on track after a 24-14 victory over Oakland last time out.
Now, Washington has had two full weeks to prepare for Dallas as it will be coming off its bye. The offense has still been dynamic, averaging 390.7 total yards per game to rank 7th in the NFL in total offense. Robert Griffin III and company should have their way with a Dallas defense that ranks 27th in the league in total defense at 409.2 yards per game, including 28th against the pass at 326.4 yards per game. Alfred Morris is good to go after suffering a rib injury in the Week 4 win over Oakland. Morris rushed for 313 yards and four touchdowns in two meetings with Dallas last year. Griffin III threw for 304 yards and four touchdowns in the 38-31 win in Dallas last season.
Washington is 7-0 against the spread vs. poor pass defenses that allow 235 or more passing yards per game over the last two seasons. The Redskins are 6-1 against the number in their last seven vs. NFC East opponents. The Cowboys are 5-16 against the spread in their last 21 vs. a team with a losing record. Dallas is 3-10 against the number in its last 13 vs. NFC East opponents.
My Early Lean: Redskins +6