The Denver Broncos host the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, November 15 in the second meeting between these AFC West rivals this season. The first resulted in a 31-24 win for the Broncos as they scored 14 points in the final 36 seconds at Arrowhead Stadium to grab victory from the jaws of defeat.

Denver (7-1, 3-0 home) suffered its first loss of the season last week at Indianapolis. Peyton Manning threw two costly interceptions in his third loss in four meetings with his former team as the Colts prevailed 27-24.

Kansas City (3-5, 1-3 away) had last week off following its 45-10 dismantling of Detroit in London in Week 8. The Chiefs got their ground game going with 206 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns from four different players in the win.

Kickoff inside Sports Authority Field at Mile High is scheduled for 4:25 EST Sunday afternoon with CBS providing the television coverage. If you are looking to wager on this game, you’ll find Denver as a 6-point favorite over Kansas City with a total set of 41.5 points.

My Early Lean: Chiefs +6

This is a great spot for the Chiefs. They have turned their season around in their last two games with back-to-back double-digit wins over the Steelers and Lions. They beat the Steelers 23-13 at home before crushing the Lions 45-10 in London. Now they have had two weeks off to continue to improve as a team under Andy Reid.

It is a proven fact that Reid is one of the best head coaches all-time at coming up with a game plan when given two weeks to prepare. Indeed, Reid was 13-1 straight up in Philadelphia off a bye. He is known for giving his players a full week off, while under the CBS terms, players only get a mandatory four days off on a bye week. Rex Ryan was previously 1-5 off a bye, but changed it up and took a page from Reid’s book last week. He gave the Bills a full week off, and they responded with a 33-17 home win over the Dolphins.

It is a proven fact that Reid is one of the best head coaches all-time at coming up with a game plan when given two weeks to prepare. Indeed, Reid was 13-1 straight up in Philadelphia off a bye.

The Chiefs have plenty of motivation heading into this one. They have lost seven straight to the Broncos, and the last time they lost eight in row in this series was all the way back from 1976 to 1979. They gave away the game in their first meeting in a 24-31 home loss at the Broncos scored 14 points in the final 36 seconds. The Chiefs uncharacteristically committed five turnovers in that game to hand Denver the win. In their other seven games this season, they have only committed a combined three turnovers just to prove how fluky that game was.

The reason the Chiefs have a chance to pull the upset in this game is because their defense is finally playing up to their potential. The Chiefs have held their last four opponents to 18 points or less, and an average of 14.3 points per game. This defense is loaded at every level and is especially good at getting after opposing quarterbacks. That will be key against the struggling Peyton Manning, who has thrown nine touchdowns against 13 interceptions this year. He has thrown at least one interception in all eight games this season.

Plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS CITY) – after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, in weeks 10 through 13 are 102-59 (63.4%) ATS since 1983. Kansas City is 24-11 ATS in its last 25 games after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 of its last 7 games coming in. The Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

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