Seahawks 49ers Odds
The San Francisco 49ers host the Seattle Seahawks on Thursday, November 27th in an NFC West showdown on Thanksgiving Day. The Seahawks took two out of three from the 49ers last season, including a 23-17 home victory in the NFC Championship Game.
San Francisco (7-4) reeled off its third straight victory with a 17-13 home win over Washington last week. Seattle (7-4) is coming off an impressive 19-3 home win over Arizona on Sunday to inch closer to the Cardinals for first place in the division.
Kickoff inside Levi’s Stadium is scheduled for 8:30 EST Thursday night with NBC providing the television coverage. Taking a look at the lines in Las Vegas, I find San Francisco listed as a 1-point favorite over Seattle with a total set of 39.5 points.
My Early Lean: 49ers -1
These teams are pretty much mirror images of one another. There is little that separates them in terms of the way they play. Both rely on strong running games and elite defenses to win. I believe these teams would be equals on a neutral field, but since this game is being played in Santa Clara, the advantage clearly goes to the 49ers. They should be laying a field goal to the Seahawks, but since they’re not I believe there is value in backing them as 1-point favorites.
Home-field advantage has been huge in this series between Seattle and San Francisco. The home team is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings. The only exception was a 19-17 win by the 49ers in Seattle back in 2011. The 49ers have won each of their last five home meetings with the Seahawks. I fully expect this trend to continue as they will be the more hungry team as they’ll be out for revenge from a loss to the Seahawks in the NFC Championship last year.
Home-field advantage has been huge in this series between Seattle and San Francisco. The home team is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings. The 49ers have won each of their last five home meetings with the Seahawks.
The 49ers have pulled out some gutty wins here of late in close games. They got a huge game-winning drive late in the fourth quarter last week against the Redskins to pull out a victory. That game wasn’t as close as the final score of 17-13 would indicate as they outgained the Redskins 312-213 for the game. Their recent resolve in close games will serve them well in this contest as it figures to go down to the wire as well.
This San Francisco defense is getting healthy at the right time, but health hasn’t mattered all that much as this is clearly one of the deepest defenses in the league. The 49ers are giving up just 20.5 points per game while ranking 2nd in the NFL In total defense at 300.1 yards per game. That’s very impressive when you consider their opponents average 362 yards per game against everyone else, so they are holding them to 62 yards per game below their season averages.
Without question, the Seahawks have one of the best home-field advantages in the league, but it has been a completely different story on the road. The Seahawks are just 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in road games this season. Their only two wins have come against Washington and Carolina, while their three losses have come to San Diego, St. Louis and Kansas City. This team is very beatable when they are away from the friendly confines of CenturyLink Field.
Seattle is 12-28 ATS in its last 40 off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival. The Seahawks are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games after allowing six points or less in their previous game. Seattle is 16-33-3 ATS in its last 52 games following a win by more than 14 points. San Francisco is 26-9-3 ATS in its last 38 games following an ATS loss. The home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.