The Seattle Seahawks host the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday, November 22 in an NFC West rivalry game. The Seahawks have won four straight meetings with the 49ers, including a 20-3 road win in their first showdown of the 2015 season on October 22.
Seattle (4-5, 2-2 home) fought back from a 19-0 deficit at home against Arizona last week to take the lead in the fourth quarter, only to give up 14 unanswered points to close, and they lost 32-39. The Seahawks even forced three turnovers, two of which led to quick touchdowns, but it wasn’t enough.
San Francisco (3-6, 0-4 away) picked up a 17-16 upset home win over Atlanta prior to its bye last week. Making his first start with the 49ers, Blaine Gabbert threw a pair of touchdown passes to Garrett Celek to lead the 49ers to victory.
Kickoff inside CenturyLink Field is scheduled for 4:25 EST Sunday afternoon with FOX providing the television coverage. If you are interested in wagering on this game, you’ll find Seattle as a 12.5-point favorite over San Francisco with a total set of 40.5 points.
My Early Lean: Seahawks -12.5
I just simply trust the Seahawks more in this situation. They are getting to the point where they can’t afford to lose many more games if they want to make the playoffs. I certainly don’t expect them to lose to the 49ers, in fact I’d be surprised if they don’t win this game by two touchdowns or more.
There’s no question in my mind that the Seahawks are a much better team than their 4-5 record would suggest. In fact, they have held a lead in the 4th quarter of all nine games this season, but they have found a way to lose five of those leads and lose the games. I still believe that this is one of the best teams in the NFC, if not the best, and that will show here over the next few weeks.
San Francisco is every bit as bad as its 3-6 record suggests, if not worse. The 49ers rank last in the NFL in yardage differential, and by a wide margin, getting outgained by 106.2 yards per game. They are 32nd in total offense at 286.2 yards per game, and 27th in total defense at 392.4 yards per game.
The offense isn’t magically fixed after the 17-16 win over the Falcons last time out. Blaine Gabbert is not an upgrade over Colin Kaepernick, but he’s going to get a second straight start because his team won that game. He threw two interceptions against the Falcons. Gabbert will now be up against one of the league’s best defenses as the Seahawks rank 2nd in total defense, giving up just 303.3 yards per game.
This has been a very one-sided series to say the least in recent meetings. The Seahawks are 6-1 SU & 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven meetings with the 49ers. They have ouscored the 49ers 167-65 over their last seven meetings, or by an average of 14.6 points per game.
This has been a very one-sided series to say the least in recent meetings. The Seahawks are 6-1 SU & 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven meetings with the 49ers. Each of their last three wins have come by double-digits, and five of the six have come by 10 points or more. They have ouscored the 49ers 167-65 over their last seven meetings, or by an average of 14.6 points per game.
The Seahawks rolled the 49ers 20-3 on the road in their first meeting this season back on October 22. This game was an even bigger blowout than the final score showed. The Seahawks outgained the 49ers by 246 total yards in the win. They held San Francisco to just 142 yards of total offense and eight first down. It’s the second time in the last three meetings that they limited the 49ers to 164 yards or fewer.
The Seahawks are 28-4 at home over the past four seasons. The 49ers are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven against NFC West opponents. San Francisco is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games overall. The Seahawks are 7-0-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in this series. Seattle is 7-0 ATS vs. poor defensive teams that allow 350 or more yards per game in the second half of the season over the last three seasons. San Francisco is 0-8 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last two years.
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